How are these companies still alive?

Here are 9 companies whose boards must be in bed with the devil or something, because I have no idea how they still manage to exist.

toys r us 1970

1. Toys R Us: To be fair, they’re not really still alive. They were purchased in a fire sale by Bain Capital and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. back in 2005. An IPO was scheduled for 2013, but plans were dropped amid declining sales. Toys R Us was my favorite store as a kid, so that’s why it gets to be at the top of the list.

gamestop storefront2. GameStop (GME): As a slightly older kid, I used to come here with my brother to buy Pokémon cards. I’m pretty sure that hasn’t been a thing since 1999. Now GameStop’s remaining customer base consists of teenagers who still haven’t figured out how to jailbreak their PS3s.

GME

3. Groupon (GRPN): I don’t have a problem with the fact that Groupon still exists. I have a problem with the fact that its market cap indicates it’s worth more than Safeway. And this is even after it fell a bajillion percent since the IPO.

safeway slc utah 1964 pleasantfamilyshoppingGRPN

barnes-and-noble-booksellers4. Barnes & Noble (BKS): I feel bad picking on these guys, because they have put up a valiant battle. But instead of buying Borders, they should have jumped into the grave with them.

BKS

Radio Shack Asimov5. Radio Shack (RSH): Radio Shack was founded nearly a century ago, back when radios were state-of-the-art electronic equipment. I haven’t set foot in one of these in decades, and can’t imagine what could possibly be inside. Vacuum tubes and HDMI cables? Does anyone even own a radio anymore?

rsh

nes01

6. Nintendo (NTDOY): This season’s South Park shows the kids fighting over Playstations and Xboxes, not Wiis. My mother still calls every console made since the 80s a Nintendo, whether it’s a Sega Genesis, iPad, or whatever. Nintendo’s ability to remain a household name despite having done nothing innovative in over a decade is probably the only thing keeping it alive.

best buy7. Best Buy (BBY): They were already everyone’s favorite whipping boy of 2012, but the fact that they still exist means that somebody out there is still buying CD-R spindles and jewel cases.

bby

sears springdale oh 1967 pleasantfamilyshopping

8. Sears (SHLD): I feel like this is a defensible business, because Americans will always need to buy washing machines and Craftsman tool sets. But maybe that’s not enough to save them from decades of mismanagement. As such, they have fallen from relevance.

shld

jcpenney albuquerque nm pleasant family shopping (1)

9. JC Penney (JCP): I hope Mike Ullman pulls JCP out of the grave, because they’re a part of American history. But walking into one of these stores is like entering a Mervyns of last decade. I found myself wondering who on earth would voluntarily hold this asset. Then I saw the 83.4% institutional ownership. Kids, if you ever get a job, learn to manage your own 401k.

jcp

So how do these companies still exist? I assume that the ones with physical stores operate much like the Persian rug shops that line University Ave. We all know that the storefront is just a facade for mob activity (there’s no way Stanford students are buying this many Persian rugs).

So are these fallen angels potential high-yield assets or junk bonds? Wait and see! In the meantime, I am a perpetual optimist and have no plans to initiate any positions in the above-mentioned assets.


Many images stolen from Pleasant Family Shopping.

Experience and Job Relevance

Dr. E Ou and friends, MD
Dr. E Ou and friends, MD

If you needed treatment for brain cancer, would you rather have a doctor who just got out of residency, or would you choose the doctor who had been practicing for three decades?

If you needed an app developer, would you hire Donald Knuth, or Donald Knuth’s undergraduate student?

800px-Jacob_Appelbaum_and_Donald_Knuth

In a static domain, choose the person with the most experience. In a dynamic domain, choose the person with the most recent experience.

Now say you’re a VC leading a $10M series A round for a swanky new startup that’s making Snapchat for Bitcoin transactions, or something equally brilliant. Who would you rather have as the CEO? The twenty-something cofounder, or Ron Johnson?

According to Ben Horowitz, conventional wisdom says a startup CEO should make way for a professional CEO once the company has achieved product-market fit. But in the recent decade, companies have been keeping their founding CEOs.

Companies need to be run by great innovators, not just great leaders. Who would be a better innovator than the founder of a billion-dollar company?

It’s possible to learn to be a great leader. It’s very difficult to learn to be a great innovator.

steve-jobs-with-iMac

Design by Dictatorship

Shamelessly stolen from Fred Brooks (The Mythical Man-Month, 16-1)
Shamelessly stolen from Fred Brooks (The Mythical Man-Month, 16-1)

What is the difference between the products in these two columns?

The products on the left have fanboys. People who love them. The products on the right have a larger user base, but no one really loves them.

The difference between the first group and the second group is that the left-column products were designed by dictatorship (in several instances, Steve Jobs’ brain). The right-column products were designed through a conventional process and everything was approved by consensus.

mac-iphone-ipad

When you design by consensus, you must cater to the lowest common denominator. The result is moderately satisfactory to most, but beloved by none.

When you want to build a product that is just tolerable to large numbers of people, use a design process. When you want to build a product that a small number will fall in love with, use a design dictator.

Great designs come from great designers, not from great design processes.

See Also:

Design of Design Fred Brooks

Happy New Year

With every year that passes, each one seems to lose significance, because I look back and think, HA, I’ve already endured 32 of those. One more year is only 1/32nd of my lifespan. At some point, I started counting backwards. Assuming that I’ll be a doddering idiot by age 60 (sooner than most – I’ve had a lot of head injuries), this next year is going to be 3.57% of my remaining useful life on earth.

Then each year increases in significance. My days are numbered. I better get back to work.